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In case any Democrats were still having trouble reading the writing on the wall: A new Gallup poll shows Republicans leading by 15 points among likely voters on the generic ballot in Tuesday’s election. Asked which candidate they prefer, 55 percent of likely voters said the Republican candidate while just 40 percent said the Democratic. Gallup calls the 15-point advantage “unprecedented.” Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com is projecting a Republican pickup of 53 seats.